College football odds, picks, spreads, predictions for bowl season, 2021-22: Simulation likes Auburn, Oklahoma


The 2021-22 college football bowl schedule returned to more of a traditional format, but COVID-19 has still forced some disruptions. The Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve was cancelled due to COVID-19 issues within Hawaii’s program. Texas A&M, meanwhile, pulled out of the TaxSlayer Bowl for the same reasons, leading to 5-7 Rutgers getting called in as a replacement against Wake Forest. Despite those issues, and plenty of coaching changes, transfers and NFL opt-outs, bowl season rolls on throughout the holidays.

The latest college football odds for bowl season from Caesars Sportsbook lists Georgia State at -5.5 against Ball State in the Camellia Bowl on Christmas Day. Action then resumes on Monday for a big week that will include the College Football Playoff semifinals and several other huge matchups. Before making any college football picks during bowl season, be sure to see the latest college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the second week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest bowl season college football odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top college football predictions for bowl season

One of the top college football picks the model is recommending for the 2021-22 bowl season: No. 16 Oklahoma (-4.5) covers against No. 14 Oregon on Dec. 29 at 9:15 p.m. ET in the Alamo Bowl. While all bowl games are technically neutral-site contests, the location of this one favors Oklahoma. The Alamodome in San Antonio is within driving distance of OU’s campus, as opposed to traveling from Eugene, Ore., so most of the crowd should be Sooner fans.

Oklahoma also benefits from Oregon’s best player, defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux, opting out of the game. One of the top prospects in next year’s draft, Thibodeaux led Oregon in sacks, tackles for loss and forced fumbles. His absence should allow more time for OU QB Caleb Williams, who led the Big 12 in passer efficiency rating while also rushing for 408 yards and six scores.

The model sees Williams maintaining his efficiency in the 2021 Alamo Bowl as he’s projected to account for 299 total yards and nearly three TDs. The simulations have the Sooners winning by nine points, and thus, they’re projected to cover in 60 percent of simulations. The model also has the under (60.5) hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations.

Another one of the college football predictions from the model: The Auburn Tigers (-2.5) cover against the No. 21 Houston Cougars in the Birmingham Bowl on Dec. 28 at noon ET. Auburn went 6-6 and dropped its last four games of the regular season. The Tigers, however, still have a lot of talent and they have several other things going for them in this matchup. Location clearly works in their favor as they’ll have to travel just a couple hours to play in front of what should be a partial crowd.

And Auburn should have a lot of confidence after pushing Alabama to overtime in the Iron Bowl. Quarterback T.J. Finley filled in well for Bo Nix (ankle, now transferring) in that game and Finley will lead Auburn again in this one. SportsLine’s model projects that Auburn will win by seven points, and with the line now dropping from -3 to -2.5, that creates a lot of value as Auburn covers almost 60 percent of the time in SportsLine’s simulations.

How to make college football bowl picks 

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game during bowl season, and it’s projecting multiple shocking upsets. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence? And which underdogs do you need to jump on now? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,600 in profit over the past five-plus seasons, and find out.

College football odds for bowl season (via Caesars)

Here are the college football lines for bowl season:

Dec. 25:

Camellia Bowl: Ball State vs. Georgia State (-6, 51)

Dec. 27:

Military Bowl: Boston College vs. East Carolina (+3, 51.5)

Quick Lane Bowl: Nevada vs. Western Michigan (-6.5, 56)

Dec. 28:

Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Minnesota vs. West Virginia (+4.5, 45)

Featured Game | Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. West Virginia Mountaineers

Liberty Bowl: Mississippi State vs. Texas Tech (+9.5, 59.5)

Holiday Bowl: UCLA vs. NC State (-1, 59.5)

First Responder Bowl: Air Force vs. Louisville (-1.5, 55.5)

Featured Game | Louisville Cardinals vs. Air Force Falcons

Birmingham Bowl: Auburn vs. Houston (+2.5, 51.5)

Featured Game | Auburn Tigers vs. Houston Cougars

Dec. 29:

Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Oregon (+4.5, 60.5)

Featured Game | Oklahoma Sooners vs. Oregon Ducks

Cheez-It Bowl: Iowa State vs. Clemson (-1, 44)

Featured Game | Iowa State Cyclones vs. Clemson Tigers

Pinstripe Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. Maryland (-3.5, 55)

Featured Game | Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Maryland Terrapins

Fenway Bowl: SMU vs. Virginia (-2.5, 71.5)

Featured Game | Virginia Cavaliers vs. SMU Mustangs

Dec. 30:

Las Vegas Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Arizona State (+6.5, 41.5)

Featured Game | Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Music City Bowl: Tennessee vs. Purdue (+4.5, 64)

Duke’s Mayo Bowl: South Carolina vs. UNC (-9, 58.5)

Featured Game | South Carolina Gamecocks vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

TaxSlayer Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Rutgers (line TBD)

Peach Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. Michigan State (-2.5, 56)

Dec. 31

Tony the Tiger Bowl: Washington State vs. Miami (Fla.) (PK, 59)

Arizona Bowl: Boise State vs. Central Michigan (+8, 55.5)

Featured Game | Boise State Broncos vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

College Football Playoff semifinal: Alabama vs. Cincinnati (+13.5, 58)

Featured Game | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

College Football Playoff semifinal: Georgia vs. Michigan (+7.5, 45)

Featured Game | Michigan Wolverines vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Jan. 1:

Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame (-2, 45.5)

Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs. Utah (+6.5, 65.5)

Sugar Bowl: Ole Miss vs. Baylor (+1, 55)

Featured Game | Ole Miss Rebels vs. Baylor Bears

Citrus Bowl: Iowa vs. Kentucky (-3, 44)

Featured Game | Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Outback Bowl: Penn State vs. Arkansas (+1, 47.5)

Featured Game | Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

Jan. 4: 

Texas Bowl: Kansas State vs. LSU (+3.5, 48)

Jan. 10:

CFP National Championship Game: Matchup TBD



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