2021-22 College Bowl Games: Confidence football pool picks, top predictions, rankings from computer simulation


The 2021-22 college football bowl season is absolutely loaded with compelling matchups, and college football fans will be treated to what feels like non-stop action from Dec. 17 to Jan. 10. Of the 44 games on the college football bowl schedule, only four have a double-digit spread, and that’s going to make playing in college football bowl confidence pools an enormous challenge. There are a whopping 18 games with spreads of a field goal or less.

No. 5 Notre Dame just lost head coach Brian Kelly to LSU, but it’s still a two-point favorite over No. 9 Oklahoma State in the 2022 Fiesta Bowl. Both teams had high hopes of making the CFP late in the season, so which team should you back as you make your college football picks? Before making any college football predictions for bowl season, be sure to see the bowl confidence pool picks from SportsLine’s proven computer model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-29 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now it has simulated each matchup on the 2021-22 college football bowl schedule 10,000 times and assigned a confidence rating to each game. You can only see all the college football bowl picks over at SportsLine. 

Top college football bowl confidence predictions

One of the top 2021-22 college football bowl confidence picks from the model: No. 25 Texas A&M gets the win over No. 17 Wake Forest in the 2021 Gator Bowl on Dec. 31 at 11 a.m. ET. It was a banner year for Dave Clawson and the Demon Deacons, as the program reached 10 wins for the first time since 2006 and won the ACC Atlantic. However, Clawson’s offense sputtered at times down the stretch, and even when it was clicking, the defense was mostly bad.

After starting 8-0, Wake Forest lost three of its last five games and the defense gave up 40.6 points per game during that stretch. The Demon Deacons gave up 58 in a loss to North Carolina, 48 in a loss to Clemson and 45 in a loss to Pitt in the ACC Championship Game. Now they’ll be taking on one of the better defenses they’ve played all season and the Aggies have put up at least 34 points on six occasions this year, so they should be able to take advantage of that leaky Wake Forest defense.

The model is predicting that Zach Calzada throws for over 200 yards and a couple of touchdowns while Isaiah Spiller and Devon Achane combine for over 170 yards rushing. That’s a big reason why the Aggies win in over 70 percent of simulations with the final score projected at 29-22.

Another one of the bowl confidence predictions the model is high on: No. 6 Ohio State gets a comfortable win over No. 11 Utah in the 2022 Rose Bowl on Jan. 1 in Pasadena. The Buckeyes are clearly one of the most talented teams in the country, but slip-ups against Oregon early in the season and Michigan in their final game of the year left them on the outside looking in for the College Football Playoff.

And while we’ll have to keep close tabs on which players might choose to opt out for Ohio State, the strength of the program’s underclassmen ensures that the Buckeyes will have plenty of talent on the field. C.J. Stroud is only a redshirt freshman, so we know that he’ll be playing, and the Heisman Trophy finalist is coming off a season where he threw for 3,862 yards and 38 touchdowns with just five interceptions.

Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson’s futures are up in the air, but Jaxon Smith-Njigba won’t be eligible for the NFL until next season and Utah could have a tough time dealing with the sensational pair of second-year players. The model predicts that Stroud throws for nearly 300 yards and three touchdowns, and that’s a big reason why Ohio State wins in well over 70 percent of its simulations.

How to make college football bowl confidence picks 

The model has also made the call on who wins every other bowl game. There are four teams that win at least 75 percent of the time, so you need to go big on those matchups, as well as multiple underdogs that win outright. You can get all the model’s picks over at SportsLine. 

So who wins every college football bowl game? And which matchups should you assign the most confidence points to? Visit SportsLine to see the full college football bowl confidence picks, all from the model that is up almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football spread picks over the past five-plus season, and find out. 



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