Panthers vs. Texans odds, line, spread: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions by model on 121-79 roll

The Carolina Panthers will meet the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on Thursday Night Football. This will just be the sixth meeting between the teams since the Texans (1-1) joined the league in 2002 and marks the first game of the Week 3 NFL schedule. Carolina has won the last three meetings, including a 16-10 victory at Houston in 2019. The Texans won the first two games in the series, including a 14-10 win at Houston in 2003.

Kickoff from NRG Stadium in Houston is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Carolina is an eight-point favorite in the latest Panthers vs. Texans odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 43. Before you make any Texans vs. Panthers picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on an incredible 122-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Panthers vs. Texans 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Panthers vs. Texans:

Panthers vs. Texans spread: Panthers -8Panthers vs. Texans over-under: 43 pointsPanthers vs. Texans money line: Houston +320, Carolina -420CAR: Panthers are 7-0 against the spread in their last seven road gamesHOU: Over has hit in the Texans’ last four gamesWhy the Panthers can cover

Quarterback Sam Darnold’s Carolina career is off and running. After three seasons with the New York Jets, Darnold is taking advantage of his new weapons and has completed 50-of-73 passes (68.5 percent) for 584 yards, three touchdowns, and a 100.5 rating in two games with the Panthers. He has also rushed for a score. In 38 career games in New York, Darnold had completed 729-of-1,219 passes (59.8 percent) for 8,097 yards and 45 touchdowns. He was picked off 39 times.

Defensively, the Panthers are getting production from a number of players, including linebacker Haason Reddick. He had 1.5 sacks in Week 2 and is looking for his third game in a row with 1.5 or more. For the season, Reddick has seven tackles, including four solo, fourth-best on the team. He also has three sacks for 18 yards, one forced fumble and one tackle for loss.

Why the Texans can cover

Running back David Johnson has had success against NFC South foes. He had a touchdown catch against Carolina in 2019 when he was a member of the Arizona Cardinals and also has scored a touchdown in five of his past six games against NFC South opponents. He has 487 yards from scrimmage (121.8 per game) and three rushing touchdowns in four career games on Thursday Night Football.

Linebacker Jacob Martin registered his first sack of the season in Sunday’s 31-21 loss at Cleveland. He is looking for his fourth Thursday Night Football game in a row with a tackle for loss. In parts of four seasons, including three with Houston, Martin has recorded 42 tackles, including 27 solo, with 10.5 sacks. He also has forced four fumbles and recovered two.

How to make Panthers vs. Texans picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 45 points. In fact, it says Carolina’s Sam Darnold will throw for nearly 300 yards passing and two touchdowns, while Houston quarterback Davis Mills steps in to throw for more than 200 yards and one TD. It also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see which side to back here.

So who wins Texans vs. Panthers on Thursday Night Football? And which side cashes in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texans vs. Panthers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $7,900 on its NFL picks, and find out.


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